Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017
The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017 Evidence Report has now been published. Continue reading to find out how the report was developed.
Every five years the UK Government must carry out an assessment of the current and future risks to the country from climate change. The next assessment is due in January 2017.
The Department for Environment Food, and Rural Affairs (Defra) published the first Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA) in January 2012.
To inform the 2017 risk assessment, the Adaptation Sub-Committee (ASC) of the Committee on Climate Change is working with a range of experts to review published data and publish an independent evidence report of the risks and opportunities to the UK from climate change. This report must be delivered to Government by July 2016. Defra will then use the ASC’s evidence report as the basis of a Government report, which will be laid before Parliament by January 2017.
CCRA Evidence Report
The CCRA Evidence Report will set out the latest evidence on climate risks and opportunities to the UK. The following people have been selected to help us write the evidence report, based on the chapters below:
|Chapter 1: introduction||Kathryn Humphrey||Adaptation Sub-Committee|
|Chapter 2: climate science and assessing risk||Rachel Warren||University of East Anglia|
|Chapter 3: rural economy and natural environment||Iain Brown||James Hutton Institute|
|Chapter 4: infrastructure||Richard Dawson||Newcastle University|
|Chapter 5: people and the built environment||Sari Kovats with Dan Osborn||London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine & University College London|
|Chapter 6: business||Swenja Surminksi||London School of Economics|
|Chapter 7: global security||Neil Adger with Andy Challinor||Exeter University & Leeds University|
|Chapter 8: cross-cutting issues||Roger Street||UK Climate Impacts Programme|
The full Evidence Report will be summarised in a shorter Synthesis Report being drafted by the ASC. Both reports will be published in July 2016.
The CCRA evidence report is being reviewed in two stages. The ASC received an initial round of comments in October 2015 and a final review is taking place in March 2016. Professor Nigel Arnell from Reading University is leading an independent technical review process, and Government representatives will also be asked to review the draft report. The final reports and review comments received will be published on the CCC website in due course.
CCRA advisory group
The CCRA Advisory Group was established to provide strategic input into the development of the CCRA. It includes members from Defra, the Scottish Government, the Welsh Assembly Government and the Northern Ireland Assembly. The agenda and minutes of the Advisory Group’s meetings are also available on our website.
The ASC, with funding from Defra, the National Environment Research Council (NERC) and the devolved administrations, tendered out four research projects to inform the CCRA evidence report. These projects were completed in autumn 2015.
Project A – Projections of future flood risk in the UK
Project D – Developing H++ scenarios
CCRA stakeholder events
In order to gather input from a wide range of stakeholders to inform the risk assessment, the ASC is convening a series of events with a broad range of organisations and individuals. An initial event was held in October 2014 to discuss the methodology. The second CCRA stakeholder event took place in London on 17 September 2015 to discuss emerging findings.